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Travellers' questions that don't fit anywhere else This is an opportunity to ask any question, and post any notice you wish that doesn't fit into one of the other sections.
Photo by Marc Gibaud, Clouds on Tres Cerros and Mount Fitzroy, Argentinian Patagonia

25 years of HU Events


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Photo by Marc Gibaud,
Clouds on Tres Cerros and
Mount Fitzroy, Argentinian Patagonia



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Old 29 Mar 2020
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Join Date: Aug 2008
Location: Shropshire
Posts: 194
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tim Cullis View Post
The good news which nobody seems to have picked up on is that whilst the Italian newly declared cases are not declining, the rate of increase has dropped, which implies the transfer rate from person to person is now only half what it was nine days ago.

CASES INCREASE PERCENT
20Mar 47,021 5,986 15%
21Mar 53,578 6,557 14%
22Mar 59,138 5,560 10%
23Mar 63,927 4,789 8%
24Mar 69,176 5,249 8%
25Mar 74,386 5,210 8%
26Mar 80,589 6,203 8%
27Mar 86,498 5,909 7%
28Mar 92,472 5,974 7%

I'm hoping today's results continue this trend. Spain is starting to show a similar trend over the last four days.
We need good news Chris!
It's so difficult to interpret the numbers (not yours above) due to the huge differences in testing numbers in particular.
The number of recovered patients is, up to now, worryingly low. But you've got to assume that curve is lagging infections and will climb over the coming weeks.
I'm pretty sure we've been sat in the house for the last 2 weeks with our son who has had the virus. But of course no way of knowing. We've been pretty focused on wiping surfaces down, hand washing etc. but still assumed we'd get it. But no. From what I can read if you're careful it's a low chance. Unfortunately, no matter how hard we try to social distance both he and our daughter who live with us are front line employees so it's only a matter of time I guess:-(
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