Quote:
Originally Posted by Riel
By mid to late April everything could go back to ‘normal’.
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It's great to have a positive spin but I prefer to plan for what I think is coming. A simple spreadsheet extrapolation for the UK predicts the recorded infected cases to top 100,000, perhaps 120,000 by Good Friday. May could be several times higher.
And these are only the cases that have been tested. Anyone who thinks they have the virus and is self-isolating at home isn't included. Also not included is the asymptomatic cases where people think they just have a cold.
Some scientists however suggest the asymptomatic cases are many times higher than the government modellers believe, and if that's the case herd immunity might be achieved and cases start to die down as they have at Wuhan. But without antibody testing of samples of the general population we really don't know.
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