Hi,
from my experience, 8 years in Nigeria till today, thereof 6 years on bike, i recommend this route as well as on safety issues and also pleasant riding:
The crossing close to Lagos is safe, but the frequent checkpoints, sometimes even in eyesight of each other, are a real pita. Further north, the road is worse, therefore not many people are traveling there. That leads to a reduced number of checkpoints, on my last trip after christmas 2012 i just met one friendly police checkpoint and one funny port health control checkpoint, that i just ignored.
Securitywise i see it like this: where noone normally travels no armed robber, sticker boys etc. will expect a foreign traveler to disturb.
The middle belt to Abuja is safe, closer to Abuja you will see more army and police cp, but they are all calm and friendly, as long as you slow down, wave and smile.
After Abuja is easy, as long as you avoid Plateau or Bauchi state. on the crossing of the benue river you might see some sticker boys, but normally for a bike youre approaching too fast, just watch out for nailboards.
Further south then is like stealing candy...
any more questions feel free to ask
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