Quote:
Originally Posted by priffe
With 190 dead it is not really "out of control"...
|
Based on my experience (spending a month in Tunisia at the beginning of the pandemic, both in quarantine and during the subsequently imposed lockdowns), the current infection rate is out of control by Tunisian standards.
The country did a remarkable job of keeping infections down up until about the end of July, but recently, the infection rate has soared. I cited this in my post above - almost as many infections in a single day this past week (996) as in the entire period from the start of the pandemic until July (about 1,500).
The death rate always lags the infection rate by about 3 to 5 weeks. It's possible that there might be a lower death ratio in this 'second wave', due to different demographics being infected, or better treatment arising from experience, but I doubt it. As of Sept 25, 207 people have died in Tunisia since the epidemic started... but 16 of those died on Sept 25th! That's kind of scary.
A month ago (mid-August), I was planning to return to Tunisia in mid-September to pick up my bike and resume riding, but now, I'm afraid it won't be prudent to return for quite a while - perhaps not until next year.
I don't know if Tunisia will tighten up restrictions or not. The economic pain the country is feeling is very real - if anything, if things get worse, the government might just say "to hell with it all" and remove all entry restrictions in order to avoid civil unrest due to unemployment arising from entry restrictions. It's a democracy, but it is a young & fragile democracy, and the government can't afford to throw money at the population to allow citizens to 'wait it out' like we are doing in Canada, or (probably) your government is doing in Sweden.
Michael
|